On Decision Making

photo of pathway surrounded by fir trees

A collection of rules to consider when making decisions, or looking for decisions to make:

  1. When it comes to the human condition, the deepest truths are often counter-intuitive. When you find two opposites that are both true, start exploring.
  2. Occam’s Razor: If there are multiple explanations for why something happened and they are equally persuasive, assume the simplest one is true. Trust the lowest-complexity answer.
  3. Hickam’s Dictum: The opposite of Occam’s Razor. In a complex system, problems usually have more than one cause.
  4. Unanimous agreement leads to bad decisions.
  5. Hanlons Razor – Never attribute to malice what can be attributed to incompetence.